On February 24th, 2022, at 6am Moscow time, a drawn and haggard-looking President of the Russian Federation gave a televised address to his people for over 40 minutes. In that address, he laid out the terrible reality that had dawned upon his country – that he had given orders for Russia’s armed forces to begin an all-out assault on Russia’s neighbour, Ukraine.
In that address, Putin laid out precisely why he had ordered the attack. He detailed the long list of abuses and offences of the West, and of his many attempts to seek peace – not merely in the preceding few months, but over the past EIGHT YEARS. And he closed his address with a statement of clear intent to the neoclowns orchestrating the confrontation between Russia and Ukraine: stay out, or suffer the consequences.
At the same time, orders went out to Russian Army, Navy, and Aerospace Forces assets and soldiers stationed all around Ukraine’s borders to begin a rapid advance into a formerly sovereign country’s territory. Hundreds of paratroopers and Spetsnaz (Russian special forces) on board helicopters flew barely above treetop level to secure Gostomel Airport, northwest of Kiev. Rockets shot out from ships of the Black Sea Fleet, aimed at command and control infrastructure of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Tanks, armoured fighting vehicles, and trucks by the hundreds charged into Ukrainian territory from Belarus, Crimea, and western Russia – some of the groups on “thunder runs” blasting as fast as possible for the territories around Kiev, others to secure cities deep in the Ukrainian south.
The Special Military Operation had begun. And the world was never the same again.
One Year On
That was a year ago. It was one of the darkest days of my life, for as I have pointed out many times, I have a close personal affinity with Russia. I have lived there, I know a number of people there, and I have personal ties to the country. That day, I thought my friends and close people would see their lives changed forever, probably in very terrible ways, and I could do nothing to help them.
The passage of time has shown my fears were largely overblown. In fact, the Russian economy has shown remarkable and extraordinary resilience. The people of Russia have not seen their economy collapse – they do not go hungry, they do not freeze or suffer from the ravages of winter, and, despite a torrid opening month in which the ruble plunged to record lows against the dollar, they do not see their currency being destroyed through inflation.
Russia’s economy shrank by 2.1% last year – an extraordinary feat in and of itself. Inflation has been declining steadily for months, and will soon return to the target of 4% that Russia’s Central Bank prefers. Russia’s trade surpluses are at record levels, its budget deficits are stable and manageable, its industrial output and production has steadily increased (and in some sectors, skyrocketed), and it is at full employment. Interest rates in Russia today are lower than they were a year ago.
This is not the readout of a country in crisis. It is in fact a country that has regained its pride, strength, and power.
The situation for the West is the diametric opposite. People across the West are seeing their savings destroyed through sky-high inflation, while many Western countries are already in recession – and we may indeed be at the starting point of a multi-year depression. Years of loose monetary policy, combined with scandalously low levels of investment in critical transportation and energy infrastructure, has left the West totally dependent on foreign supply chains that the Scamdemic showed to be extremely fragile.
And all of that is before we get to the situation in Banderastan.
The Hell of War
As I pointed out in my earlier post last Sunday, the Banderastan War has cost Ukraine a truly staggering price. I stand by my assertions that Ukraine’s Armed Forces have suffered well in excess of 150K dead, alone – and multiples that in wounded. Russia has now “occupied” – I prefer the term, “liberated”, but then, I am strongly pro-Russian – the bulk of the territories of Zaporozh’ye and Kherson, and has freed up almost all of the territory of Lugansk.
It is in Donetsk where the Russian military faces a stern and difficult test. But even there, the Russians continue to crack and break Ukrainian lines. They continue to pile pressure onto the AFU in and around Bakhmut, Avdeevka, Ugledar, and other locations across the front. Russian advances and artillery strikes cost them dozens or hundreds of dead a day – but inflict many multiples of that on the Ukrainians.
Russian casualties are, as far as I can tell, around 15-20K dead – confirmed not by the Russian MoD, which has remained extremely tight-lipped about overall casualties for a year now, but by open-source data from the BBC and Mediazona. Normally, I would view any data from the BBC as indistinguishable from toxic sewage, but the Beeb has been staunchly anti-Russian since the beginning of the war, and its own presstitutes refuse to publicise their findings, so I am willing to give them credence. Those numbers line up reasonably well with the near-complete lack of any evidence of mass casualties from the front lines. The total number of Russian wounded is in the many tens of thousands – but most of those have already returned to active duty, thanks to the rather good standard of medical care they receive.
The Ukrainians, for their part, continue to show no tactical or operational finesse whatsoever. They have no response, no answers, to the rain of steel that the Russians pour on them every single day. Hundreds, possibly thousands, of their men die every single day, in the most hellish circumstances possible. Their cemeteries are filled to overflowing with the dead, and more arrive every day.
This is not a war Ukraine can win. Its economy shrank by over 30% last year – that is if you go by official data, which I do not. In reality, the collapse in GDP was well over 50%, and the only thing holding up the Ukrainian economy is the injection of over US$120B in various forms of aid – more than Ukraine’s actual GDP in 2020 – at least 50% of which simply went right back to the West in the form of money laundering, arms sales, and outright embezzling.
The Agonising Death of Ukraine
The most corrupt and broken country in all of Europe has seen its population collapse by half in the past 18 years. In the 2004 census, Ukraine registered a total population of about 43 million or so. Of those, at least 2 million live in Crimea, which is now back where it belongs, in Russian hands. Another 8-10 million live in the four Russian regions of Novorossiya.
A further 10-12 million have fled or migrated overseas – at least 3 million of them now live in Russia as refugees, where they are welcomed into society and given food, housing, and jobs. In Europe, though, they are despised and hated, because they make themselves an extremely unwelcome nuisance.
The result is that Ukraine’s population today is perhaps 19-20 million – and its total fertility rate, already one of the lowest in Europe, has collapsed. On top of that, the flower of its youth, along with its middle-aged male population, die by the hundreds and thousands under the reaper’s scythe in the slaughter-pens of Donbass.
One way or another, this war will be the end of Ukraine as a viable entity and nation-state.
Nor, in my view, does it deserve to survive. The crimes of its leadership and its people have condemned it, and Ukraine now reaps what it has sown.
I make no apologies whatsoever for those harsh words. I used to have a lot of respect for Ukrainians, whom I regarded as basically similar to Russians. But, in reality, that only applies to ethnic Russians living in the parts of Ukraine that were once part of Imperial Russia. The western parts of Ukraine, on the other hand, are linguistically and ethnically completely separate, and exhibit intense, xenocidal, hostility toward the ethnic Russians of the south and east.
Today, I regard anything said by Ukrainians with deep suspicion, at best. They have done this to themselves – wherever Ukrainian refugees have gone in the West, they have brought chaos, disorder, and Nazism with them. In Germany, Poland, Britain, Spain, Italy, France, and many other countries, public opinion is turning decisively against the Ukrainians, and with very good reason.
The Opening Phase of WWIII
What, then, are we to take away from this madness?
I argue this war was not only inevitable – it was NECESSARY.
Make no mistake – we are now actively in World War III. I know there are those who would argue that WWIII was actually the Cold War, and that the USA won it – I will concede the first point, but not the second. In reality, the Cold War ended with a negotiated peace between two honourable men, President BAMF, aka St. Reagan of the Right, and Mikhail Gorbachyov.
Whatever the case may be, whether this is WWIII or WWIV, the fact remains: we are in an era of global war.
And America is almost ENTIRELY to blame for this.
The USA learned completely the wrong lessons from the end of the Cold War. Instead of taking the opportunity to realise that history had not, in fact, ended, and thereby taking the time to recalibrate, step back, and walk away from dreams of global hegemonic empire, the US went in the exact opposite route, and became the world’s sole hyperpower.
In so doing, it arrogated to itself responsibilities that never belonged to it, and took on a role that the Founders never intended for it. By becoming Globocop, and by imposing on other sovereign nations and powers the values and ideologies that it saw fit, the US became an overweening, arrogant, and astonishingly corrupt empire. Propped up by the petrodollar and vast amounts of sovereign debt, America became drunk on power, cheap money, and fancy technological toys.
All the while, the American government, and people, refused to see or understand the fact that the rest of the world did not, and does not, think or act the way Americans might like. In Asia, Africa, and Latin America, various regional powers saw the corruption, decay, and cultural rot of America, and started to turn away from it.
All over the world, strong and competent leaders began to take over and assert themselves. Russia experienced its own rapid economic, cultural, military, and political revival under the Neo-Tsar. China’s Xi Jinping quelled all dissent against his rule and has spent the last 10 years turning China into a regional superpower that can now successfully take on and defeat the US Navy in the Pacific. India began to assert itself under Narendra Modi. Latin America began to break away from the American orbit.
All of this leads us to a few inevitable facts about the future:
The Future is Multipolar
And that is a very good thing. The world NEEDS competition in economic systems and ideologies. Nations SHOULD have a choice of economic models to follow. The neoliberal model of Modern Monetary Theory-based debt and money printing, combined with multiculturalism and all manner of sexual and cultural perversion, is anathema to most people, as it should be.
China provides a state-led capitalist model. In less polite terms, we might call it open fascism, because that is actually what it is. Yet the Chinese model is in fact a legitimate one, because the Communist Party of China can claim a far greater membership among the people than any political party anywhere else in the world, both in percentage and absolute terms.
Russia provides another model of an autocratic, nominally democratic, federalist republic, with substantial room for free enterprise, but state-driven ownership of key economic sectors. The autarkic model pioneered by the Russians has shown its worth.
India’s democracy is chaotic, noisy, inefficient, clumsy, and quite often amazingly corrupt and stupid. It is also a democracy that produced a country that is not aligned with any major political power or movement, and which can quite happily negotiate its own treaties and agreements with other parties. India is free and independent, as it should be.
Other powers around the world can see what Russia and China have to offer. They provide economic aid, energy, financing, and friendship – WITHOUT a lot of high-handed preaching about cultural values, and without intensely irritating attempts to subvert the internal political processes of their clients.
Yes, the Chinese use debt-trap diplomacy – that is a fact. They also do not attempt to overthrow regimes using it – they simply seize the collateral and hold it as their own when their borrowers default. They also offer loans at about half the rate that the World Bank or IMF do – without the onerous economic austerity packages and conditions attached to them by the West. Is it any wonder that much of the Dirt World views the One Belt One Road initiative positively?
The future, therefore, will consist of individual nation-states in various alliances with each other, each pursuing their own courses of development. And that is very much to the good.
SANKSHUNS WERK!!!
No, actually, they don’t. Russia is the most sanctioned country on Earth, and by a very long way. But that has not broken their country. Instead, it has broken the West. The single most effective tool the West has – its control over international financial movements – has failed to destroy the Russian economy. Other countries are taking notice.
In future, alternatives to the dollar will emerge. They already are. And while they are nowhere near ready to replace the dollar in international trade just yet – that is an impossibility, at this stage, given the immense volume of global dollar-denominated transactions – it is only a matter of time before nations across the Eurasian landmass begin settling trades in their own native currencies, or in alternative global standards like the Chinese yuan, a commodities-backed ruble, or the emerging BRICS common currency.
The dollar is not finished, and will not be for years. But its power will be greatly diminished – as will the West’s ability to wage economic warfare using sanctions.
The result will be a European continent reduced to backwater status, deindustrialised, hollowed out, and totally useless for anything beyond tourism. America will last a while longer, given its immense economic power, but it is still a financialised husk of its former self.
Auf Wiedersehen, Wunderwaffen
If there is one thing the Banderastan War has taught us, it is the hard truth of the three levels of war: strategic, operational, and tactical. All the wonder-weapons in the world cannot defeat an army that has mastery over strategic and operational arts.
And if there is one other thing this war has taught us, it is that the West’s militaries are COMPLETELY UNPREPARED for a really serious combined-arms war.
The West has spent the last thirty years investing in ridiculously overengineered, overhyped, outrageously expensive weapons of war that actually are not particularly good in real combat. The Russians are showing us this every single day in Donbass, as they destroy ever greater quantities of M-777 howitzers, HIMARS launchers, drones, tanks, jeeps, trucks, and God only knows what else the West has handed over to Banderastan.
Nor is the West capable of replacing what it has lost in short order. Because the West has hollowed out its own manufacturing base over the past thirty years, replacing the stocks of what has been lost will take years, if not DECADES, even at dramatically higher levels of production.
NATO armies are an utter joke (if we don’t count Turkiye). Most NATO nations cannot muster a combat-ready division if their literal existence depended on it. Britain’s entire army (note, just the army, not its whole military) could fit inside one of its football stadiums, and it can muster perhaps a single combat-ready brigade – which would exhaust Britain’s entire available stock of ammunition in about ONE DAY if faced with serious continental combat.
The US military has been wokeified to the point of hopeless ineffectiveness. Its Air Force has to work with the flying shitheap that is the Joint Strike Flying Piano. Even the US Navy, which has a superb submarine fleet, is rapidly degrading its own combat capabilities. And the US has already severely depleted its own military stockpiles on behalf of Banderastan.
The Russians, meanwhile, appear to have few, if any, problems arming and supplying their troops. Their industrial base is intact, and their factories are running three shifts a day, seven days a week – they actually have a shortage of technicians and engineers in their military-industrial complex, and are hiring at a robust rate.
Their weapons of war have shown their ruggedness and value in real war. Their tanks and warplanes can compete with, and beat, the best of the West – indeed, the Russians now have the ONLY combat-tested 5th-generation fighter jet in the world, the Su-57, which has actually scored both air-to-air and air-to-ground kills. (By contrast, the F-22 Raptor has only been used for air-to-ground bombing missions in Afghanistan – against enemies whose idea of air defence is a bunch of AK-47s pointed vaguely skyward – and for air-to-air kills against a Chinese weather balloon that wouldn’t be able to resists a light breeze.)
The Long-Overdue Death of the West
The West has signed its own death warrant with its support for Banderastan. The war is going extremely badly for Western countries, peoples, and economies. We can see this with what I call “the Curse of the Dummy” – essentially, every Western leader that embraced Bellendsky, or shook his hand, has seen his or her political career collapse. This has happened so quickly and frequently that I am beginning to think Zelebobik actually IS cursed – certainly he is Satan’s buttplug.
Western nations have signed up wholeheartedly for every insane, stupid, venal, and ridiculous project of the GloboHomoPaedo elites. And Western voters must share a huge portion of the blame. They elected these crazies into power, they enabled the Deep State, and they became so used to the good life – built mostly on debt – that they forgot what it really means to safeguard their own freedoms.
I have very little sympathy for the peoples of the West, who forgot and dishonoured their own Christian values in favour of the “gods” of diversity and tolerance. The mentally enslaved, morally broken, financially bankrupted peoples of the West are getting EXACTLY what they voted for, up the wrong end – and they deserve it.
The Russian leadership claims – correctly – that their country is fighting the entire combined weight of the Western world. They are winning. Russia’s economy is stable and strong. The West’s economy is slowly collapsing, especially in Europe.
Western elites continue to crow and bleat and virtue-signal as hard as ever about how much they love and support Banderastan – while ignoring the fact they are supporting literal neo-Nazis who embrace mass-murdering Ukrainian ultra-nationalists as their heroes. This is not a culture that deserves to survive. It has to be destroyed wholesale for something better to come along to replace it.
Perhaps it will be replaced by a proper Christian culture that no longer tolerates or accepts groomer-clowns, attempts to make God a “gender-neutral” construct, or “pride parades” through its largest cities which force young children to watch homosexuals and other weirdos simulating sex acts on each other.
Russians do not tolerate such garbage in their culture. They are fine with letting other countries conduct such degenerate practices within their own borders – but they absolutely will not allow such sewage to spill over into their own nation. TA firm supermajority of the Russian population – at least 80%, including many who do not particularly like or support Putin himself – now strongly support the war against Ukraine and the West, because they understand exactly whom they are really fighting.
The West tried to destroy the world’s commodities superpower. It failed. And now the West itself is failing. This is, in my view, to the good – and I say that as someone who considers himself a Man of the West, the true West, the one built on Christian morality.
Conclusion – War is Politics WITH Another Means
I could go on and on for quite some time. But the facts are what they are. The world has changed forever.
This phase of WWIII will end with a negotiated settlement – I am certain of this. As I stated nearly a year ago, when I pointed out the huge misunderstanding most people have of Carl von Clausewitz‘s most famous saying (and I was hardly the first to do so), the Russians do read von Clausewitz, and understand it, because they fight their wars for specific political ends. They want this war to end with a defeated and broken Ukraine, partitioned in such a way that it can never threaten them again.
That image you see up the top is from Chinese social media. It shows Russia taking Novorossiya, and then a demilitarised zone in Kharkov region, with Kiev divided into Ukrainian-occupied Queef, and Russian-controlled Kiev, on either bank of the Dnieper.
This proposal will never fly, of course – not least because I suspect Russia is in it for the whole ball game, all the way up to and including Odessa. I do think the Russian General Staff has plans to march all the way to the borders of Moldova, incorporating Transnistria into Russia and possibly even establishing a land bridge to Hungary and the Balkans. If that happens, it will be the end of NATO and the Western alliance system.
The West will never accept such terms either, because this war is a matter of all-or-nothing for the GloboHomoPaedo neoclowns who created this whole mess. For them, their entire personal credibility is on the line. They have spent entire lives and careers waiting for this one chance to destroy Russia for good – only to find Russia is destroying them.
They do not care, because as far as they are concerned, the rules do not apply to them. They would willingly risk nuclear Armageddon to break up and destroy Russia, all to satisfy their ancient grievances against the country that, rightly, booted out their grandparents for being complete lunatics and unreconstructed Trotskyites.
In a sane world, these people would be lined up and HANGED for being an existential threat to humanity. Unfortunately, we do not live in a sane world.
Ultimately, Russia will win, and Ukraine will be destroyed. But thousands – perhaps tens of thousands – more Russian men will have to die before this can happen.
It is an awful price to pay for the security and freedom of Russia – especially since this is but the opening phase of the hot war of WWIII. More is to come, and it will be terrible. But I genuinely do believe a more equitable, stable, and free multipolar order will emerge from all of it.
The only question is whether the West will finally learn some long-overdue humility, and return to its Christian and European roots, when all is said and done.
Will the West survive? I honestly do not know. And, frankly, I am not sure it even deserves to do so, at this point. This war needed to happen, to cleanse the West of its evil and insanity. Perhaps it will fail to do so – perhaps the cancer runs to the marrow, and the West simply needs to die and be replaced outright.
We shall see. The Russians are planning for a war that will last another thirty months – a lot can happen during that time.
1 Comment
I read the other day that if the 20 largest cities in the US were nuked, the USA would revert to an 80% white population.
Don’t blame the voters for the results of elections here; we’ve had fixed elections forever and they’re just now starting to make enough mistakes that we can see unmistakeably what has happened. We might be unable to affect electoral outcomes, but when the collapse comes we will save this country and fix it. There are too many good hardworking honest people in rural America. (and most other western nations.)
Your writings are excellent and very educational. Keep going!