LRFotS Randale6 wrote to me before I went on vacation to offer up a couple of guest poasts, which I am finally getting around to publishing. The first is essentially a repeat – well, in part – of a great big long write-up that he did on his site, on how things will look for the North American continent when the inevitable break-up of the American Empire finally takes place.

Given we appear to be coming up on that particularly awful outcome at a rate of knots, his poast may well be one of the more timely reminders and analyses of what could happen.

As always, I am grateful to our friend, and to my readers in general, for their contributions to this site, and I encourage you to send in your questions and guest poasts. I quote the part on Texas below, to give you a sense of the depth and breadth of the analysis. You can find the rest of the poast right here.

Texas is such a cultural, economic, and political star that you might as well call it a sun. The states bordering it are naught but helpless planets that must always orbit it. This union will result in what as well might be called “Super-Texas”, an enlarged and probably hyper-charged version of the core state.

This state will have everything it needs to live in abundance (with the exception of heavy industry). From Texas comes oil, natural gas, agriculture, and population. Oklahoma will supply even more of the same (save population). Louisiana also brings the same resources to the table Oklahoma does…but it also brings with it the control of the Mississippi River.

Arkansas and New Mexico meanwhile will bring much to the superstate in the form of mineral wealth and raw materials. Between them all they will have much of the nation’s military equipment stockpile, along with loyal national guard troops to seize it if the local federals don’t decide to jump ship.

It has every motive to leave the USA, ranging from the desire to fully tap into it’s incredible natural resources to the need to control it’s own borders. Last but not least it has been an independent nation before, this would not be new territory for Texas.

Yet this reemerged nation would not be without it’s difficulties. Besides the fact that Uncle Sam will be pissed off another factor must be considered…Mexico. In the chaos and confusion of American Fractalization Mexico may very well decide that a reconquista of it’s former territories is in order.

These are merely the threats from without, Texas will also have to deal with the threats from within. Ranging from welfare sponges cutoff from the government tit to cartel gangs, much effort will have to be devoted to controlling (and likely removing) internal parasites.

Assuming Texas can overcome these difficulties though it’s future is the brightest of all the American nations. It can simply choose to hunker down and secure it’s borders fully, becoming a major regional power in a decade or less. With control of the Mississippi River it has an easy expansion route through much of Eastern America.

It’s cultural similarities with Appalachia, the South, and the South-West make expansion via diplomatic union easily done. Indeed, Texas is the most likely nation of the Fractalized Nations of America to successfully wage a reunification war.

Last but not least we must consider the knock off effects of Texas becoming independent. First is that it may inspire the rest of the former Confederacy to do likewise, it is even conceivable that they may form a neo-confederacy with Texas at it’s core. It is also a possibility that this may lead to the American Far West deciding to go for independence itself.

Update: Some new factors have emerged which suggest Texas is becoming cognizant of what is to come. First they have made gold, silver, and a gold/silver backed state digital currency legal tender. Second is that a pro-independence party has emerged and is starting to gain ground. Third is that the Texas state government (via gerrymandering) is working very hard to quash any and all democratic political power within the state.

They may not be consciously aiming for independence right now but they are laying the groundwork to do so.