The news broke very late last night (my time, and Iranian time, though it was probably at around 7pm EST) that Angry Short Fat Trump had, at almost the very last minute, called off the so-called “civilisation-ending” strikes against Iran’s infrastructure, power plants, bridges, and oil and gas refineries. This followed days, if not weeks, of frantic diplomatic shuttling and mediation by the Pakistanis and Chinese behind the scenes, attempting to wrestle all parties into their respective pens and break the economic blockade that threatens to cripple the entire world.

The sequence of events has been as bewildering as it is welcome. First, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif published a short post on X, asking Drumpf to extend his non-aggression deadline by two weeks:

Then, Drumpf published the above post on TROOF SOWSHUL, and followed it up shortly thereafter with another one about how it is a big day for world peace.

It was then up to the global commentariat to try to figure out just what the hell everyone had agreed with, and this is everyone’s more or less best guess about what the Iranians demanded, and the Americans agreed – note, however, this is according to the Iranians:

• Non-aggression commitment
• Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz
• Acceptance of Iran’s nuclear enrichment
• Lifting all primary sanctions
• Lifting all secondary sanctions
• Ending UN Security Council resolutions
• Ending IAEA Board of Governors resolutions
• Paying compensation to Iran
• Withdrawing US combat forces from the region
• Ending the war on all fronts, including against resistance forces

And thus, after nearly 5 weeks of insanity and relentless retardery, there was a ceasefire – though, sadly, as we shall see, not for very long.

The first and most important thing we all need to say is:

THANK GOD!

Trump, as Always, Chickened Out, and so we had TACO Tuesday yesterday. For that, I am eternally grateful.

Thousands of innocent civilians have died since February 28, most of them Iranian, but many of them Lebanese, plus more than a few Gulf Arabs and migrant workers living in the GCC states. The shedding of innocent blood is NEVER sanctioned under Christian morality – it is always a sin.

(Catholics and more than a few Protestants will step in here with Augustinian “Just-War Theory”, but the Orthodox types will counter that there is no such thing; all war is a sin, and it is only justifiable to go to war if failing to do so will result in an even greater existential disaster. This is the Russian justification for the war in Ukraine, and I have to say, I agree with the Orthobros.)

And, although the Israelis themselves bear criminal responsibility for the start of this war, the plain fact of the matter is many innocent Jews have lost their lives as well. We cannot and must not forget this.

A ceasefire that stops the idiocy, the bombing, the slaughter of women and children, the insanity and madness, is entirely right and good. All thanks and praise be to Almighty God for the fact that it happened, and that it lasted at least a few hours.

Unfortunately, various people in Israel apparently failed to get the message, starting with the lunatic in power over there. Prime Minister Netanyahu insisted that the ceasefire did not cover Lebanon – when the Iranian side stated plainly that it did.

This was the first big problem with the ceasefire, as it was announced:

None of the sides involved made it clear exactly what terms were agreed.

This left holes in the terms large enough to pilot a Death Star through them, multiple times. And anyone who has ever seen the Izzraeli government in action, can see that, if you give them an inch, they will take a mile.

So, the Israelis launched a huge attack on Lebanon, and killed over a hundred people earlier today. Then, the OnlySheikhs clowns in charge of the UAE decided to get in on the action, and attacked Iran’s gas and oil facilities.

The direct consequence is that, tonight, the Strait of Hormuz has slammed shut again, Iranian missiles are flying toward Izzrael, and the OnlySheikhs are getting hammered.

Unbelievably, the Jews of Israel could not even give us all TWENTY-FOUR HOURS of peace. Even that was apparently too much for them.

Supposing, however, that all parties can be brought back in line by the Pakistanis, Chinese, and Russians – the latter are absolutely and unquestionably working the phones hard behind the scenes to get everyone to CHILL THE PHUCK OUT – and assuming the terms of the ceasefire are broadly in line with what the Persians published…

Then the implications are earth-shattering.

That is not an exaggeration, as hyperbolic as it sounds. The key caveat here is that no one knows exactly what the basis was of the two-week ceasefire (which at this point looks more like not even a two-day ceasefire). But, based on what Al-Jazeera and others were able to glean from various correspondences, the Iranians got their way on almost every key point, as noted in the list above.

IF those terms are accurate – and I have no way of knowing whether they are – then Iran has survived, and it has won.

Again, that is not an exaggeration. Back when this entire exercise in blithering idiocy started, I stated bluntly that the victory condition for the Iranian regime was simple:

Survival.

As long as it survived the first few days or perhaps the first week of the attacks, it would win. That is exactly what happened. The Persians had plainly learned some hard lessons from the 12-Day War last year, and they put in place a “Mosaic Plan” that decentralised targeting and military command authority to regional commanders and provincial governors. When their Grand Beardy Todger Supreme Poobah was taken out – along with quite a few innocent civilians, including a 14-month-old child – the man’s son stepped in and took over. The transition of authority and power was nearly seamless.

Iranian society, which had just a few months before been wracked by protests and extremely violent, almost certainly Western-instigated, riots and disorder, coalesced and united around their government. The Persians are an ancient, diverse, and very proud people – they have every right to be, given their history, civilisation, and accomplishments. They are one of the world’s great civilisation-states, along with Russia, China, India, Turkey, Japan, and a few others. And they proved their resilience and toughness over the past few weeks.

It was not uncommon to see signs in Tehran shops that basically said, “If you cannot pay for your bread today, take it for free, and pay when the war is over. While we are at war, no one goes hungry.” This was not a society that would break easily – contra the projections and assumptions of the Epstein Coalition.

Because of that resilience and unity, Iran has shown the United States and its military power – which is considerable, despite severe deficiencies in staying power and logistics – cannot defeat them. They are not Venezuela, or Iraq. They can take a degree of punishment that no previous foe since the North Vietnamese ever could.

Moreover, the ceasefire leaves Iran in charge of the Strait of Hormuz. It creates a situation which did not exist on February 27, where Iran and Oman between them are able to charge transit fees for oil, gas, and all other cargoes, in either Chinese yuan or stablecoins.

The implications of this are profound. The United States, for all its bluster and show, cannot preserve a vital, arterial trade route for the entire global economy – which means its entire purpose as an empire is null and void.

I have pointed out at length before that the entire reason for existence of an empire hinges on its ability to protect the trade routes that funnel resources and wealth from the vassals and allies at the periphery to the imperial centre. That is why empires have large and powerful militaries. The Iranians, having created multiple extraordinary empires of their own, understand this quite well.

Equally, for President “Trump” – whoever he is – this is a colossal defeat. Drumpf has destroyed his entire Presidency and legacy. It is a virtual certainty that he will lose the House and probably the Senate in the midterms to the Daemoncrats. The very party that was in total disarray just 18 months ago, is resurgent, and is running on a message of “unaffordability” – a term that the jackasses never define, but the solution to which is always and everywhere more redistribution from the rich to the poor. (It never actually works out that way; socialism ALWAYS results in the redistribution of wealth in the exact opposite direction.)

If – and, again, it is a BIG “if” – the Iranian terms listed up above are accurate, then the FUSA has suffered the single most catastrophic defeat in perhaps its entire history.

The Iranians have served an eviction notice to the American Empire. They have severely damaged, and in some cases rendered uninhabitable, some of the most important American bases in the Gulf region. They have exposed American air “defence” for the laughably impotent relic that it is. They have taken the absolute worst punishment the American Air Force can dish out, and they have withstood it. They have proven to the world that they have the ability to destroy all shipping going through a critical global trade route – which means, as I said earlier, that they have full control over it.

Moreover, if the ceasefire holds, and if it turns into a true peace agreement, the Iranians have every ability to use the tolls they collect from oil and gas transits – and it looks like they will charge something like US$0.5-1 for every barrel of oil or cubic metre of gas going through the Strait, which comes to anywhere between US$1-2M PER TANKER – they will rake in something like 20% of their current nominal GDP through transit fees alone, based on one estimate I saw earlier today. This will be enough, and more than enough, to rebuild what the Epstein Coalition damaged and destroyed.

And there is NOTHING the FUSA and its regional allies can do about it.

They have lost. The Empire has lost. And we are watching the reshaping of the entire world order before our eyes.

The Iranians have done what the Russians could not and would not with the Ukraine War, because the latter wanted to keep the war contained as thoroughly as possible and avoid a global thermonuclear war. Iran, by contrast, directly and asymmetrically escalated the conflict by targeting US bases in the region and hitting the West in its most critical vulnerability – energy. They shielded themselves from the threat of nuclear war by their very proximity to the world’s most important energy production sites, and used that shield in their favour.

Say what you will about the Iranians – they know how to do this “geostrategy” thing. But then, you would expect that from the same people who basically invented the game of chess. (“Shahmat”, as they call it, is where we get the term “checkmate”, and as far as I can tell, it basically comes from the Persian version of, “kill the king”, or something similar.)

This is nothing short of a massive geopolitical defeat for the FUSA, in a very real sense. Drumpf has been humiliated before the entire world. The best he can do is to pretend that he has won some great victory, and walk away from the entire mess that he created – thanks to his relentlessly stupid Boomercuck insistence on following the Izzraelis straight into the mouth of Hell.

The damage to the US’s reputation and global standing is severe, and probably irreparable. No one in his right mind will ever trust the US again in negotiations – the Iranians certainly do not. Right now, as I write this, they are pointing out that the US violated the ceasefire terms, and that is what they expected, given past history. The US under Drumpf has a history of assassinating and kidnapping the very leaders with whom it is negotiating – and under other Presidents, it has simply ignored or lied outright about what the other side wants and says. This is not a trustworthy or mature nation – which means it cannot be treated as anything other than a nuclear-armed bully that must be contained and isolated.

That is precisely how the Russians, Chinese, and even the eternally stupid Indians will treat the FUSA now. So will the rest of the world, and with very good reason.

As for the Izzraelis, the eschatologically challenged idiots who started this entire insane war… They continue to try to slaughter everyone around them, but are themselves being thrashed. They have lost all sympathy that they once had from the global community. Outside of the West – and a declining share of people there, at that – no one cares any longer about their Holocaustianity and their whining.

The Israelis did this to themselves. They have no one else to blame. They decided to use the power and might of the US military to achieve what they themselves could not, and oversold and overhyped a regime-change exercise that has blown up catastrophically in everyone’s faces. In the process, they have destroyed the very protector that they sought to manipulate and use.

It is well past time for the FUSA to walk away from the entire Israel Project, and leave the Middle East alone. The end of the American Empire is upon us, and we are all witnesses to the horror and glory of its collapse.