The last few days have been very busy in terms of diplomacy, with a seeming breakthrough coming in just today. As of now, we see that Angry Short Trump will meet with the Neo-Tsar, probably next week, though the details remain to be confirmed.
This is good news, without question. Just a week ago, it looked like Drumpf was going to impose 100% tariffs on India, China, and Brazil, because they all trade with Russia, and the Russians have made it perfectly clear that they will not be bullied, bribed, or coerced, into any kind of ceasefire that does not meet their own very specific terms.
Those terms, which the Neo-Tsar laid out in a seminal speech to the Academy of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Russia last June, are absolutely crystal clear:
The terms are unambiguous. First, Ukraine must withdraw from all four of the regions of Novorossiya. Second, the United States and the European powers must stop feeding Ukraine arms and munitions, and must withdraw all of their officers and “advisors” from Ukrainian territory. Third, there must be ironclad guarantees that Ukraine will never enter NATO. Fourth, Ukraine must resolve to respect the Russian language and cultural identity.
Bellendsky the Narcofuehrer was never going to meet these conditions. Neither was Brandon the Fake President. And neither, as it turns out, was Drumpf, because he now has to answer to the literally insane genocidal Zioclowns that appear to own his ass and his Administration.
Drumpf should have walked away from Project Ukraine back in April. He refused. Now, Ukraine is HIS WAR, despite his ridiculous protestations to the contrary.
But leave that aside – and leave aside the fact that it was TRUMP, NOT Putin, who requested the meeting. This is an irritating result of the curious and bizarre Russian inability to manage media perception. They really stink at it, and they simply have not learned, at all, in over 3 years of war with the combined West. There are, to be sure, elements of the Russian government that are telegenic and understand how to manage the media – the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, with its lovely (for her age) spokeswoman, Maria Zakharova, is a prime example. But the Kremlin, in particular, is appallingly bad at getting ahead of the West’s messaging and media apparatus.
The Russians constantly do this, by the way. They ALWAYS take the Western leaders at their word, when those leaders say they want things kept quiet and behind closed doors – and they ALWAYS end up looking like idiots when the Western leaders then turn right around and betray them. This has been true for decades, not just over the course of this conflict. The Russian psyche is a weird blend of secretiveness and honesty – they do not like to show their emotions or sentiments in the open, but they value plain and honest speech behind closed doors. They have an intense distaste for trickery and subterfuge, yet they have no problem keeping things quiet and holding their secrets. It is a very weird mindset, and I confess I do not fully understand it myself.
Of course, this makes them prime targets for Western trickery, because Americans and Brits think totally differently. They are much more superficial than Russians are – and it shows in the way they handle sensitive events. When dealing with Western media-driven narratives, Russians really are like Tom stepping on a rake:
This is why the Western whore-media seized the initiative and started promoting the line that the Neo-Tsar asked for the summit meeting. He did nothing of the sort. President Putin is in the driver’s seat. He commands the initiative. His troops are absolutely crushing Ukraine – and the combined West – on the battlefield.
Indeed, the situation out in the fields is critical. Pokrovsk, Ukraine’s last major logistical and military stronghold in southwestern Donbass, is effectively encircled, and its defences are collapsing. In the east, Kupyansk and Seversk are at risk of collapse as well. This leaves only Konstantinovka, Slavyansk, and Kramatorsk, as the major areas of Ukrainian presence in Donbass. Once they fall, Ukraine itself falls.
The death toll from the Ukrainian front lines is absolutely catastrophic. The picture up top tells you everything you needs to know. The calculation of 1,600-ish dead a day, corresponds pretty well with the published daily casualties from the RuMinDef. And, to be clear, their estimates are VERY CONSERVATIVE, because they only publish numbers that they can actively verify through observations and radio intercepts.
The West is committing a literal genocide, using the Russians to wipe out the bloodlines of the Ukrainian people.
That loss rate of 100 Russians a day, also sounds about right. The war has lasted 1,260 days, as of today. A loss rate of 100 per day, thereabouts, puts Russian total dead at 126,000. This corresponds pretty well with what the “independent” (translation: Western-owned and -backed) Mediazona-BBC project has come up with, using its own statistical methodology that looks at published obituaries and cemetery expansions in Russia.
This leaves us with a 16:1 loss ratio between Ukraine and Russia. When you consider the fact that Ukraine has less than 20 million people within its current de facto borders, and Russia has a population of 150 million, then the sheer horror of this war becomes clear.
The Russians are crushing Ukraine through attrition – while preserving their own manpower to an extraordinary degree. This is simply not a war Ukraine can win. It has no hope of survival.
If the Ukrainians had the sense God gave a honey badger, they would have negotiated an honourable peace, YEARS ago. But they are stupid and stubborn, and their country is not sovereign – it is entirely owned by the West.
So the Ukrainian nation will go extinct – and it deserves that fate. And the Russians will do whatever it takes to make sure the stain of Banderism, and the Ukrainstvo – the “way of Ukraine” – dies with it.
This is not an exaggeration. Before the start of the SMO in 2022, Ukraine had roughly 40 million residents – including those of the 4 new regions of Russia. Today, it has barely 20 million, after millions fled abroad, and roughly 8 million of the residents of Novorossiya became, well, Russians.
Do a little MAFF, and you will quickly realise that this means Ukraine has lost roughly 5% of its pre-SMO population, just in battlefield deaths – and a full 10% of its current population.
By way of comparison, Nazi Germany lost roughly 16% of its population. The Soviet Union lost roughly 15%. Both countries eventually recovered, but they were never the same again. Ukraine will have no such opportunity, because it was an economic and political basket case to begin with. There will be no “Ukraine” after this war is done – and nor, frankly, should there be. The “independent” and sovereign state of Ukraine ceased to exist in all but name after the Orange Revolution of 2004, and collapsed utterly in 2014. Today’s Ukraine is a meat-puppet for the Western powers – its people are good only for cannon-fodder for the West’s genocidal proxy-war against Russia.
This all brings us to the real question that matters:
Why is Drumpf pushing for a meeting with the Neo-Tsar now, of all times?
I think it is because Ornj Boi recognises, however belatedly, that Project Ukraine is failing, and he desperately needs a way out.
There is more to this story than we might think. Late last week, the Russians conducted a major special operations raid on Ochakov, and rumours started emerging that they had captured at least two senior British officers. Those rumours appear to be increasingly grounded in fact, as Dr. Vladimir Brovkin points out in his video from today:
Given both the Russian and Western press have confirmed that Western officers were captured by the Russians, this is absolute, undeniable, unquestionable proof of DIRECT Western involvement in the war. It was never any kind of secret anyway – we now know that the US military basically directed the war in Ukraine from that command centre of theirs in Wiesbaden, Germany – but the West could still pretend that it was an arms-length participant, because any Western soldiers who did participate, did so as “mercenaries”, or “advisors”. This was all transparent nonsense, and the Russians complained as much many times – they knew perfectly well that the Polish “mercenaries” streaming over the border into Ukraine, which the Russians have killed in their THOUSANDS by now, were all active-duty Polish troops spirited into Banderastan under “legends”.
But there is no pretending any more. The Russians have the receipts. Worse, they have the operational plans and targets from those officers. And they now have a very powerful bargaining chip for leverage against the West.
In effect, they are telling the Western powers to negotiate – or the Russian SVR will start releasing their embarrassing secrets for the whole world to see.
It would be one thing if this were 2022, and Western public opinion still sided with Ukraine. But today is a different matter entirely. The West is weary and sick of war. Western voters want nothing to do with the Ukrainians. They blame the war – correctly – for the spiralling cost of living, and for the total failures of their governments to do anything useful about controlling immigration, inflation, crime, and multiple other severe social diseases.
The release of such information into the general public would be devastating – not merely for the American government, but especially for the British one, which is by far the most hawkish, and stupid, and crazy, out of any of the Western powers. The Brits have held an irrational and idiotic hatred of the Russians, ever since before the Crimean War, when their elites ginned up the notion that the Russian Empire wanted to conquer India – which was an absurd idea on its face. They never got over the fact that the Russians fought them to a bloody stalemate in Crimea, and then beat them during the Russian Civil War.
So, does the advent of face-to-face negotiations mean that there will be peace?
No.
The reason is simple. Drumpf DOES NOT UNDERSTAND the Ukraine War. He does not comprehend its “root causes”, as the Russians like to say. He does not realise that HE bears direct responsibility for its outbreak in 2022, because he was the one who armed Ukraine with lethal aid – which was a step that even Odumbass the Lightworker was too afraid to take.
Drumpf’s entire frame of reference for the FUSA is that of America in the 1950s, when it stood tall as the greatest and most powerful nation on Earth. That was when he grew up, and he still – foolishly – thinks America can get back to that. He does not realise or recognise the limits to American power. Nor is he informed or sensible enough to understand that, for all his bloviating about how great America is, and how wonderful its military is, America LOST, comprehensively and conclusively, the new arms race.
The Russian military today is the best in the world. It can take on and defeat NATO powers in open war, easily, because it has tools, technologies, and warfighting techniques that no one else has. It has honed these in the war against Western-armed, Western-trained, Western-backed Ukrainians – in other words, they have fought Westernised versions of themselves. It really is a particularly horrible uncivil war.
Trump does, at some level, understand one thing, though. His threats against Russia have not worked, AT ALL. The Indians, Chinese, and Brazilians have all told the US to go pound sand with its tariff and sanction threats. The FUSA’s unipolar moment is definitively OVER. And, while Angry Short Trump might not be able to comprehend that fully, he does see, however dimly, that his threats and bluster have failed to deliver the deal he wanted.
Moreover, his seemingly crazy escalations of the nuclear rhetoric, and his threats to bring war to Russia’s shores, have not swayed the Russians in the slightest. That is because the Russians are a methodical, practical, cultured, and stoic bunch. Their top leaders are men of wisdom, discernment, and strength. They do not get upset easily, and they hold their anger in check for the times when it really matters.
The addled rantings of an emotionally incontinent geriatric hold no fear for them.
Make no mistake, Trump is now in a position with which he is most unaccustomed. He is now the weaker party, looking desperately for an exit, an off-ramp, from a disaster that HE helped create, and that HE owns.
The Neo-Tsar is offering him a lifeline. Trump, being Trump, is doing his level best to make a complete pig’s breakfast of it, by pretending as though it was The Putin who asked for the meeting, and turning it all into one big media circus, and trying to squirrel in a trilateral meeting with Bellendsky. The Russians said “NYET!!!” to that latter idea in the most unequivocal terms.
Questions still remain about what happens next. For instance, Drumpf threatened to level 100% tariffs on China, India, Brazil, and anyone else that trades with Russia, starting tomorrow. I expect he will kick the can down the road, in another epic affirmation of the TACO principle – Trump Always Chickens Out.
Will there be peace after Trump meets with Putin? I seriously doubt it, for one simple reason, and it is what I wrote above:
Trump does not understand what he has gotten himself into.
Until he understands that Russia is in charge, and will win on the battlefield, and will eventually get exactly what it wants… there is no point in even having a negotiation.
Trump will not get a ceasefire from the Russians. At best, he will get a series of concessions around trade, in exchange for sanctions relief.
But why, then, did Putin’s foreign policy aide, Yuriy Ushakov, make the statement that Steve Witkoff made a proposal that was acceptable to both sides?
The Western whore-media has interpreted this to mean that the Russians are willing to make some sort of concessions on their demands. I see no evidence whatsoever for this. There is no indication, at all, that President Putin has softened his stance on anything related to Ukraine.
Instead, I think the proposal has to do with the capture of those officers I mentioned earlier. This is speculative on my part, but I think, reading between the lines, that the “proposal” on the table, is for the US to withdraw fully from the Ukraine conflict, in exchange for the return of its officers in a quiet and face-saving manner, and commitments from the Russians to engage with the US on other issues, like trade and arms control.
For the US cannot, and will not, commit to the terms that actually matter to the Russians – disarmament and demilitarisation of Ukraine, cessation of NATO expansion, neutrality of the Ukrainian state, and recognition of the four territories as Russian. Indeed, those demands are not even enough for the RUSSIANS. If you talk to ordinary Russians today, you will find that the majority of them are in an absolutely implacable mood. They do not want four new regions – they want ELEVEN.
And there is a very real possibility that they will get exactly what they want – one way or another.
I leave you with some excellent analysis on this exact topic from LTC Danny Davis and his guest, Patrick Henningsen:
And also from the Greek gentlemen of The Duran:
1 Comment
add to the list of epic retardation in which the US has engaged over the last 50 years;
we are barely capable of enriching Uranium ourselves any more. and nobody had to bomb us in order to destroy our production capability.
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all we had to do was allow the crypto-Marxists in our own government to advocate for Marxian International Free Trade … and we off-shored almost our entire enrichment production capability. what we Americans have allowed to be done to US production capability is really quite remarkable.
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i’ve been pointing out for years now that, come the next World War, the US was NOT going to be the “arsenal of democracy”, as it was utterly beyond our current industrial capacity. i reached that conclusion before i was even aware of the parlous state of US ship building. and now i find out that our uranium facilities are practically non-existent. boy, i sure am glad Hillary authorized that sale of US domestic uranium mining rights to Russia back when she was Secretary of State.