The quote falsely attributed to Lord Winston Churchill goes something like, “jaw-jaw is better than war-war”. This is not quite what he actually said, which went something like, “Meeting jaw-to-jaw is better than war”. This is one of those odd instances where Winnie said the right thing in the wrong way, because he himself was a pretty ardent advocate for war in favour of British interests (as he perceived them). Not for nothing has World War II often been called, “Churchill’s War”, and “The Unnecessary War”, by historians and analysts outside the mainstream.

Personally, I disagree with the latter view; the outcomes and results of the Great War were such that a do-over was virtually inevitable. And so it proved with the Moustachioed Gentleman, who clawed his way into power and galvanised the reunified Germany into a war machine.

It so happens, however, that the outcomes of the Second World War, made the Cold War inevitable – and the outcomes of that conflict, made the current one, inevitable.

So we find ourselves today in a situation where two of the world’s three greatest military powers are engaged in a direct and open conflict.

Open War is Upon Us

This last is not hyperbole. As the recent, massive, highly deceptive and very one-sided, “expose” from The New York F***ing Slimes about the “secret war” between the USA and Russia pointed out, the US and UK are DIRECTLY INVOLVED in managing the 404, in a very hands-on manner. (The link goes to a full archived version of the article, because my hatred and loathing of TNYFS is such that I refuse to send my readers to their site, even if they can register for free to read that bilge.)

That very long article is full of lies and half-truths, but the biggest lie of all is the notion that comes through at every point that the Ukrainians have failed to dislodge the Russian forces from “their” (in reality, historically Russian) lands, because they did not listen to the brilliant wisdom and guidance of their American betters.

At NO POINT does TNYFS admit what is the actual and literal truth:

The Russians are WINNING, and they are doing so because they have DEFEATED the very best minds in the American military establishment.

This, in turn, yields another very uncomfortable corollary that should, by rights, have American military commanders reaching for the smelling salts:

The Russians know how to fight a serious war – and the Americans DO NOT.

I have been saying this for years on this website. It is a highly unpopular opinion among the Ameribros and the MAGA crowd, who (not universally) go for the “’Murica! F*** YEAH!” way of looking at the world, and who still believe – against the weight of all the available evidence – that America won WWII.

None of that changes the fact that, as both Russian commentators like Andrei Martyanov and Stanislav Krapinski, and American ones like Col. Douglas Macgregor and LTC Daniel L. Davis, have repeatedly pointed out, America is a naval and (to an extent) air power. It is NOT a land power.

The Russians, by contrast, ARE a land power. They were, and are once more, THE pre-eminent land power in the world.

EMore than that, they apply a quasi-scientific approach to the study and conduct of war, which is, as far as I can tell, almost unique to them. Their top generals all have engineering degrees, in very serious skull-sweat subjects like mechanical, electrical, aerospace, and nuclear engineering – and their specialised schools, in subjects like artillery, tank warfare, communications, and command & control, give them the equivalent of PhD-level training and knowledge. Their whole understanding of war comes from the Red Army, which almost from the outset looked at warfare through the lenses of science and mathematics. This was a direct product of the entire Marxist-Leninist view of the world, which – for all of its COLOSSAL faults – produced the military and technical philosophy that stopped the very best the Wehrmacht ever produced, dead in its tracks.

This is the military machine that the American planners who run things in Ukraine, are trying to defeat. It is not working.

Cracking and Breaking

Things are so evidently “not working”, in fact, that the narrative around the 404 War has shifted several times since the total defeat of the Khreat Khokholite Kursk Kock-Up a few weeks ago. Up until that point, the whore-media narrative was that the war was in a “stalemate”, and that the Russians were stuck.

Shortly after that, though, the narrative veered between this ridiculous “stalemate” nonsense, and the notion that the Russians were desperate for peace, which is why the Neo-Tsar opened a line of discussion with President Trump.

The problem was that, as with all other whore-media narratives, this one simply was not true.

The Russians are not in the least bit desperate for peace. They are quite happy to keep going at this relatively slow pace, until the Ukrainians finally break and collapse completely – and then the Russians can finally send in their heavy divisions to smash through the front lines, all the way to the Dnieper River.

In fact, if you actually look at the situation on the front lines, the situation is CONSIDERABLY worse than the whore-media and the Ukrainians are willing to admit.

The Russians are not stuck. They are advancing, every single day, often at the rate of multiple kilometres, across EVERY part of the front line.

They are now in Sumy region. Their bridgehead across the Oskol river in the Kharkov sector is growing – Kupyansk itself is now under threat, and when, not if, it falls, the Ukies will have lost the single greatest achievement of their Khreat Khokholite Kharkov Khounteroffensive from almost three years ago. In Donbass, the Ukies have been pushed out almost completely from Lugansk Oblast’, and are cracking and breaking under the relentless pressure of the Russian offensives in Chasov Yar and Konstantinovka in central Donetsk Oblast’, while also retreating under perhaps even more intense pressure around Pokrovsk in the south.

The latter focus point – schwerpunkt, to use a Clausewitzian term – is particularly important. Pokrovsk is a rail and road junction that allows the Ukrainians to supply their forces in Donbass – it is perhaps their last remaining serious supply point, beyond the twin cities of Slavyansk and Kramatorsk, that can continue to supply the forces now fighting for their lives in Donetsk. Once it goes, the Ukrainian forces in Donetsk will find themselves running critically low on supplies and reinforcements, in a very big hurry.

All of this leaves the God-Emperor himself in a very problematic place.

Ornj Boi’s Rash Vow

Back when he was running for office, Drumpf stated repeatedly on the campaign trail that he could end the Ukraine War in 24 hours, through a single phone call. We all knew he was being hyperbolic, as he often is. T-Rex talks quite a lot out of his, rather large, posterior, and we all know this, and do not take him overly seriously about the specifics of what he says, while nonetheless paying attention to the general thrust and tone of his ideas.

I, for one, absolutely believe that President Trump wants to see the killing end. I have it on good authority – this is one of those “friend of a friend who knows the guy who gave POTUS his intel briefing that day” deals – that when the Trumpasaur learned from an actual intelligence specialist that Ukraine had, in fact, lost 1.2 MILLION dead, his reaction was something along the lines of, “You have got to be f***ing kidding me, there is absolutely NO F***ING WAY that is true”.

When the intel officers in the room respectfully said, “no, sir, it’s true, and here are the data to prove it”, T-Rex simply sat there in stunned silence for the rest of the briefing.

I believe this to be true, because I know and fully trust the source that told me this – and that person trusts their sources implicitly.

So I do think that President Trump is trying very hard to knock some sense into both sides to make them negotiate.

The problem is that Donaldus Triumphus is a highly transactional individual, who thinks of everything in terms of business deals. He does not understand that business ethics, in which you can make people see sense based on hard numbers and money, DOES NOT translate particularly well into the realm of geopolitics – which is based on GEOGRAPHY (hence the name), as well as political interests.

Implicit within that definition of geography as a determining factor of geopolitics, is the fact that, within the geographical boundaries of countries, are PEOPLE. And those people have their own individual interests, agendas, goals, and histories.

The history between the Russian and Ukrainian peoples is a long and very complicated one, with considerable bitterness on the Ukrainian side. Rightly or wrongly – more so the latter, in my personal opinion – the Ukies of the present, post-USSR generation, largely view the Russians as hated plunderers and occupiers. Note, this was NOT the case with older generations of Ukrainians, especially those who grew up under the USSR, because that was when Ukraine reached its maximum economic and political development.

(This generational divide is not unique to Ukraine. I have seen the same thing in several post-Soviet and post-Communist republics, including Georgia, Kyrgyzstan, and Serbia. I have visited all three. Interestingly, though, you do not see this same divide in Russia, where both young and old people regard the USSR as a failed experiment, but not necessarily a universally terrible one.)

Today’s Ukrainians hate Russians, because of terrible incidents like the Holodomor (Great Hunger), which the Ukrainians of the modern, ultra-nationalistic, and totally broken state of Ukraine regard as a deliberate campaign of extermination waged by Stalin against the Ukrainian people. This is not true. Stalin’s policies assuredly did lead to the widespread and horrendous famines of the time, but it was not a deliberate attempt to wipe out the Ukrainian peoples in general.

As a result of tragedies like that, and other historical breaks going back even farther in time – like the betrayal of Hetman Mazepa during the Great Northern War and the invasion of Ukraine under Charles XII of Sweden – the Ukrainians, especially the younger ones, hate Russia and Russians.

Note, the Russians DO NOT reciprocate this hatred. Russians regard Ukrainians as a brotherly people, as a general rule. Millions of western Russians have relatives in Ukraine – particularly those who live in cities like Voronezh, Belgorod, Kursk, and Oryol. That view of Ukrainians as “brothers and cousins” has frayed significantly at the popular level, though, because of the atrocities committed by Ukrainian soldiers against Russian civilians. But, at some level, at least, the Russians still regard Ukrainians as “their own”.

These are the complexities and nuances that a business deal cannot possibly embrace or overcome. Ornj Boi is being very foolish if he thinks he can overcome centuries of bad blood and hostility, simply by forcing through some kind of peace agreement.

The problem he faces, though, is that he has no choice.

The God-Emperor’s Dilemma

His Most Illustrious, Noble, August, Benevolent, and Legendary Celestial Majesty, the God-Emperor of Mankind, Donaldus Triumphus Magnus Astra, the First of His Name, the Lion of Midnight, may the Lord bless him and preserve him, has a VERY serious problem on his hands in Ukraine. It is now HIS WAR. He made it so the moment that he told the Ukrainians to agree to an unconditional ceasefire, and then demanded that Russia agree to the same.

This was a colossal mistake on his part. He NEVER should have tried to play peacemaker. He should have recognised that Ukraine’s leaders are absolute creatures of the American Derp State, and will never agree to any kind of peace with Russia, under any circumstances, as long as they have the slimmest hopes of receiving weapons and supplies from the Americans.

He should also have recognised that the Ukrainians are perfectly well aware that their only hope of survival as a state, is to draw the FUSA into a direct, open conflict with Russia.

This is why the Ukies are playing for an unconditional ceasefire. The depths of their deception are completely obvious to anyone paying attention. We all know their game. They will wait until the Russians agree to a complete cessation of hostilities, and then they will engineer a provocation of some kind, blame the Russians for it, and run screaming to the Americans, demanding military interventions that put the US military in the line of fire of Russian missiles and drones.

This is insane on the face of it, because it will result in a true WWIII scenario that will almost immediately go nuclear. The FUSA has no capacity to wage a land war in the European theatre, and the Ameribros know it. And when 40,000 American soldiers die in the first two weeks of such a war – according to the DoD’s own estimates – then the war will almost certainly go nuclear.

Which means we are all DEAD.

This is the dilemma that Ornj Boi faces. He made a commitment to get peace in Ukraine, and I believe he genuinely wants such a thing. But he ALSO fails, perhaps, to understand just how much resistance there is to peace with Russia, both in Ukraine, and in the European Union.

As such, T-Rex faces pressure from many different sides. If he continues the war in Ukraine, he will alienate his MAGA base. If he cuts off all support and walks away, he will enrage the neoclowns of his own party in the House and Senate. But, if he refuses to do the right thing and end the war, his highly ambitious domestic agenda will fail and collapse.

This is a very difficult situation, and it is a trap that Ornj Boi chose to walk into, knowing full well the consequences.

There is only one man who can get him out.

What the Neo-Tsar Wants

That man is, of course, Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin, the Neo-Tsar of Russia.

The Putin is the only man who can give President Trump a face-saving way out of the Ukraine quagmire. However, he knows damned well that he is in the driver’s seat, which means that Drumpf will have to make TREMENDOUS concessions to meet Russia’s demands.

Ornj Boi does not appear to be willing to make those concessions – not yet. At least, that seems to be the case if you listen to his rhetoric on the surface.

What does Russia want? It is quite simple, really:

• No Ukraine in NATO, EVER;
• Permanent neutrality and disarmament of whatever is left of Ukraine;
• The removal of all Ukrainian forces from the four new regions of Lugansk, Donetsk, Zaporozh’ye, and Kherson;
• A new government in Kiev that is free of the Banderite elements and the extremely toxic ultranationalist ideology that has eaten away at the foundations of Ukrainian society for so long;
• A commitment from Ukraine that it will never pursue nuclear weapons of any kind;
• No Western military bases or troops on Ukrainian soil, ever;

These terms are harsh and onerous. They are significantly worse than what was on the table at Istanbul in 2022.

Yet they are STILL far better than what Russian society itself wants now. And this poses a problem for the Neo-Tsar.

You see, just as President Trump faces a dilemma, so too does the Neo-Tsar.

The Russian people, and almost all of the elites in the Russian government, no longer view the West with any trust of any kind. The few liberals that are left in Russia, have no voice any longer. Even Russians who hated and distrusted Putin, before the war, now want to see a full Russian victory – I know quite a few such people, and they are so thoroughly disgusted with the West and everything it represents, that I cannot even do their sentiments justice.

As Stanislav Krapinski – a former US Army officer who left the US in the 1990s and “defected” to Russia, and now works and fights for the Russian side – pointed out in an excellent recent appearance on The Duran, there was a very real fear within the Russian military that, when The Putin started talking to T-Rex, it would result in some sort of weak-kneed “Minsk-3” type of compromise. While the Neo-Tsar is not nearly that stupid, the fear is real – and if he did that, he would face open rebellion from his own government and military:

This means The Putin CANNOT seek anything less than a crushing victory. He has almost no room for manoeuvre himself. He MUST secure a lasting peace for Russia, that leaves no question whatsoever about a future restarting of hostilities.

That implies total defeat for Ukraine – and for the West.

And this brings us to another point that people who have never been to Russia, simply cannot understand:

The Putin is the MODERATE in the Russian government.

I am not joking about this. He is literally the only man left among the inner circle of siloviki (men of strength) that controls the government at the Federal level, who believes in continued dialogue and engagement with the West. Even Sergei Lavrov, the world’s most experienced and accomplished diplomat, no longer speaks of the West with any respect at all – he is openly contemptuous of European (though not, curiously, American) elites, and shows no desire whatsoever to engage with them.

President Putin is virtually alone in the Russian government in wanting to find some sort of acceptable middle ground with the West. He is willing to compromise, up to a point – but the Russian, and Putinesque, understanding of what “compromise” means, is totally different to what the West understands.

From a Russian perspective, a “compromise” means that Russia stops only at taking the four newly incorporated Russian regions. It means Russia does NOT go for Odessa, Kharkov, Krivoy Rog, Nikolaev, Poltava, Sumy, and Chernigov regions – ALL of which were once part of Russia itself. It means Russia does NOT storm Kiev itself – which, again, is the Mother City for Russians, and is itself a serious prize that they believe should be part of the Russian heartland again.

Moreover, the Russian President is highly constrained by the Constitution of Russia. Most non-Russians, who have never been to Russia, think The Putin is some kind of all-powerful dictator, who runs the entire country from his office in the Kremlin. This is a ridiculous caricature with absolutely zero basis in reality. Russia is a country made up of federated republics, and each republic has its own government and leadership – some of those governors are immensely powerful and influential, as I saw first-hand during my travels in Dagestan in 2023. President Putin’s powers are sharply limited by the Constitution – as is his freedom to act.

The Constitution of Russia dictates that Russian territorial sovereignty is non-negotiable. That means the new territories, which acceded to the Russian Federation in late 2022, are now part of Russia in their entirety, and the Russian military is legally obligated to take them by force – because, from the Russian point of view, they are now illegally occupied by foreigners.

This all means President Putin’s flexibility is highly limited. He, too, is on the clock – though his timescale is far longer and more relaxed than Drumpf’s.

Conclusion – Time Crisis

All of this means we are now in a situation where time is of the absolute essence.

President Trump MUST find a way to disengage from the 404 War, if he has any hope of making his domestic agenda work. The single best way to do that, is to wait until mid-April, when the “ceasefire” on energy infrastructure objects (which Ukraine has repeatedly and wantonly violated) winds down. At that point, seeing as how the Ukies and Russians refuse to sit down and work together, he should simply walk away, and abandon Ukraine to its European allies.

This will come at a severe political cost, no doubt. The neoclowns, particularly the closet homosexuals like Sen. Lindsey Graham, will be absolutely enraged. That might explain why Ornj Boi’s rhetoric has been so weird over the past couple of weeks – he has swung from being “pissed off” with President Putin’s idea about putting a temporary UN-managed government in Ukraine, to saying that he respects Putin and believes he wants to make a deal.

The latter is not true, by the way. President Putin is not interested in “making a deal” at any price. He will only make one that serves Russian interests – because, as I have said many times before, The Putin is a moderate conservative Christian nationalist. He believes in the Russian nation and people, and will work to the betterment of conditions for the Russian population.

However, President Putin himself is also running out of time, in a sense, though he has a lot more runway than Drumpf does. The Russian people are weary of the war – but not in the sense that they want it to end at any price. They want it to end in VICTORY. Too many of their fathers, sons, husbands, brothers, uncles, and nephews have died or been crippled for life, to permit any other outcome.

Victory, for them, means the total defeat of Ukraine – and of the West.

Europe, by contrast, is completely out of time – and it is, yet again, fighting Russia for the purpose of destroying the Russian state and civilisation. That is not a hidden intention. Their own top leaders have said so repeatedly. That psycho-bitch Stony weirdo, Kaja Kallas (who, by the way, speaks fluent Russian), is on the record saying that it would be great if Europe could break Russia up into many different smaller republics, and strip them for resources.

The Europeans really have not learned anything from their last few attempts to destroy Russia. Napoleon tried it, and that resulted in Russian troops marching through the streets of Paris. Hitler tried it, and that resulted in Russian troops marching through the streets of Berlin.

Today, the British, French, and Germans are ALL trying it, yet again. There are altogether too many Russians now saying that they should send the First Guards Tank Army back to Berlin, then Paris, and eventually to London, to liberate what is left of Europe.

Let us hope and pray that does not come to pass. The idea is too awful to contemplate – not least because there is also a significant segment of Russian society saying that no Russian soldier should ever die for Europe ever again, and that all the bodies of the MILLIONS of Soviet soldiers who fought to liberate Europe, should be repatriated to the Motherland, because the Europeans are so consumed with prejudice and hatred.

Having spent considerable time in Europe and Russia, all I can say is, the Russians have the right of it. No Russian should ever die again for Europe – but Europe itself is doomed, and cannot see that fact.

I wrote shortly after Ornj Boi’s election that I believe peace will come this year. I stand by that view. In my opinion, we will see an end to the 404 War by the end of 2025. But it will end on RUSSIAN terms, and no one else’s.

The time for “jaw-jaw” is running out. I estimate Drumpf has until the end of this month, AT BEST, before the Russians say, “ХВАТИТ!!!”, and unleash a serious offensive across multiple fronts, designed to smash through whatever is left of Ukraine. The Neo-Tsar himself said that Ukraine is basically running out of meat for the grinder, during his discussion with sailors aboard the newly-commissioned Yasen’-M-class nuclear attack submarine, Arkhangelsk, recently:

All of this points to one absolutely unavoidable reality:

The sooner that Ornj Boi stops dicking around with pointless “ceasefire” initiatives that lead nowhere, and simply pulls America out of the war THAT IT STARTED, the better off everyone will be.