Everyone has no doubt heard by now about the destruction of the Novaya Kakhovka hydroelectric dam, or Kakhovskaya Hydroelectric Power Plant (KHPP). The result was pretty much what you might expect – a big-ass wall of water rushing downstream and flooding towns across the lower Kherson region.

Among other catastrophic effects, the water canal feeding Crimea – which the Ukrainians blockaded in 2014, as an act of spite toward their former territory and supposed “countrymen”, and which the Russians promptly reopened when they took over Kherson – no longer has access to water from the Dnieper. All of the towns along the bank downstream of the breach are flooded, thousands of people have lost their homes, and overall, it is just a humanitarian disaster.

In times like these, naturally, one must ask: whodunnit?

The precise cause is, at this point, unknown, but it is safe to say that, of all the potential culprits, we can immediately rule out the Russians.

Consider this video of the dam’s destruction – you will need to open this in Telegram:

Here is a video of the resulting destruction downstream, from RT:

So, who actually did this heinous deed? (Again, open in Telegram – or just follow my channel, where I post all of this stuff anyway):

All you have to do is figure out who benefits from the destruction of this infrastructure.

The Russians assuredly do not. The dam’s reservoir fed not only the North Crimea Canal, which supplied fresh water to Russia’s population and agricultural sector in the Crimean peninsula, but also supplied cooling water to the Russian-controlled Zaporozh’ye Nuclear Power Plant, the largest of its kind anywhere in Europe. All of that is now GONE.

Moreover, the flooding most heavily affected the left (or east) bank of the Dnieper river, where the Russians retreated after abandoning Kherson City back in the autumn last year. That bank sits on a lower elevation than the west bank, and therefore is much more susceptible to flooding.

Now, Russia actually anticipated the potential catastrophic consequences of a rupture of the dam, back in the autumn, which is why Gen. Surovikin ordered a pullout of Russian troops in the city in the first place. The Russian Ministry of Defence received absolutely scathing criticism at the time from the Russian public, because the abandonment of a historically Russian city sat very poorly with the population – but the more level-headed among the Russian side understood Surovikin’s reasons for doing so.

He reasoned that staying in Kherson City, with tenuous and difficult supply lines, was foolish, given the dangers posed by flooding from the destruction of the Kakhovskaya Dam. So he pulled all of the roughly 15,000 elite Russian paratroopers out of the city, along with their equipment and many important Russian relics, and plotted out a masterful fighting withdrawal that saw the Russians move back across the river to far more easily defensible positions.

His decision proved sagacious indeed. Russian fighting power and defensive strength has not diminished in the slightest – they built entrenchments and fortifications several kilometres back from the actual banks of the river, on higher ground, so they have suffered no real adverse effects.

There is some speculation the Ukrainians will use the dramatically lowered water levels in Lake Kakhovka to enable an armed crossing in force against weaker Russian lines in that region. Perhaps that is the case – if so, that does not strike me as particularly sensible, given it will take weeks for that ground to dry out, and the Ukrainians are already bleeding profusely from their failed Khreat Khokholite Khumvee Khounteroffensive, which has since khommenced and has had approximately the same effect as a dead-cat bounce.

However, that does not mean the Ukrainians did not do the deed. Here is a chart showing water levels in the Lake Kakhovka reservoir, in the days leading up to the rupture of the dam (source):

The data clearly show rapidly increasing water levels in the reservoir itself.

Why did that happen? Because the Ukrainians, who control ALL of the dams upstream of this one – there are several along the Dnieper, most of them built by the Soviets to generate cheap electricity for industrial use and distribute water for agricultural irrigation – opened up the floodgates on the dams they control, with the specific intention of flooding the Kakhovskaya reservoir.

I know next to nothing about civil engineering works. But, simple logic tells me there is little point to do something like that, unless you intend to overwhelm a dam’s ability to hold back water and flood everything downstream.

Then there is the fact that Ukraine has repeatedly attacked the KHPP itself. Here is a video of a Ukrainian MLRS strike on the KHPP dating back to November last year:

The Ukrainians had means to do this. They also had ample opportunity.

What about motive?

That, too, is relatively simple. The Ukrainians want to make life as difficult for the Russian “occupiers” – whom the majority of the residents of that region consider liberators from the fascist and completely lunatic Banderite regime in Queef – as possible. They also have made no secret whatsoever of their hatred for the ethnic Russians of these regions – they call them “Moskals”, and they sing songs like “Москалы на ножи!” (Moskals to the knife!) in their schools and in public places. This is a country that worships psychopathic mass murderers like Stepan Bandera, and elevates actual Russian traitors to the status of heroes.

This is not a rational or sensible nation. It is also one that is inexorably losing an existential conflict in very public fashion. As far as the Ukrainians are concerned, they have nothing to lose from such crazy stunts.

How, then, did they actually do it? I have seen multiple sources claim the KHPP is strong enough to withstand a direct nuclear strike – that might be something of an exaggeration, but there is no denying the fact that Soviets really knew how to build things, back in the day. Therefore, people have proposed several different theories as to how the perpetrators destroyed the dam.

One involves the use of an Adler MLRS system – which apparently has much larger rockets than the HIMARS – to destroy the locks and open the sluice gates. Another involves an unmanned water drone or torpedo boat packed with explosives, hitting the dam itself. A third discusses some sort of internal sabotage, and a fourth looks at the possibility of catastrophic equipment failure resulting in a huge explosion that destroyed the dam.

Whatever the exact method, none of this changes the fact that we have entered a very dangerous new phase of the war.

I gather the destruction of dams is a war crime under international law – so a number of people claim. Since I am no lawyer, I take no position either way, but IF that is true, then this means Russia has every moral right to reciprocate.

Russia now has every possible justification to launch direct attacks against the critical infrastructure of its enemies, without regard for civilian casualties. The West has already attacked and destroyed the Nord Stream pipelines, which represented billions in infrastructure investment for the Russians, in an open act of war against Germany. Western powers have supported Ukraine in its destruction of civilian infrastructure that supplies clean water to millions of people.

Now, the Russians are not so foolish and intemperate as to launch immediate attacks against Ukrainian dams upstream, obviously. That would result in devastation across large swathes of Ukraine, which the Russians definitely want to avoid. But it does mean the Russians have every right to attack more than just the thermal power plants and substations they have destroyed thus far. It means they can now attack actual critical infrastructure works that facilitate communications across the entire Western world – undersea telecoms cables, anyone?

This is what happens when you let arsonists and children run Western policy. You get a completely out-of-control bunch of total idiots running around believing they are immune to consequences, attempting to inflict catastrophic damage against a nuclear-armed power that has made very clear it has no interest in playing games any longer.

Nations have started wars against each other for less than this. The Western world is totally unprepared for a serious conflict, and will NOT prevail against a nation that already produces as much steel as the US does, and with a far more cost-effective military-industrial complex and much larger industrial capacity, to boot.

Continued support for Banderastan is quite literally insane at this point. It will lead to very, very dangerous places. People need to get a CLUE already and abandon this stupid tar-baby known as Banderastan as soon as possible.