While everyone was paying attention to Palestinians and Israelis committing the most horrific war crimes against each other this past week, a small but incredibly significant statement slipped past the radar for the normies. The rest of us, however, caught it just fine.

The statement in question came from Chief of Crocodile Tears for the Fake Administration – none other than former Rear Admiral John Kirby, the Mouth of Sauron for the National Security Council (a contradiction in terms if there ever was one). In a press conference on Oct 11, Mr. Kirby let slip that the FUSA is “near the end of the rope” in terms of aid to Banderastan:

That gives the entire game away. The end of the Banderastan War is now firmly in sight.

We cannot predict with any real accuracy precisely when this will happen, of course. That is beyond the ken of mere mortals like us – though the Russians have their National Defence Management Centre Supercomputer (НЦУО Суперкмопютер), which does nothing but analyse and predict patterns of military conflict 24x7x365, located somewhere in Moscow, and that can probably figure out what is coming, and roughly when.

Regardless of timings, the course of this war is clear. The mathematics truly are determinate – people do not need a supercomputer to figure that out.

Nicht Ein Schlacht, Ein Rettungsaktion

The rapid depletion of Ukraine’s stockpiles of weapons and ammunition, across the entire range of available tools, is undeniable at this point. Reports from the front – such as that exact article from The Smellygraph noted above –indicate severe shortages of artillery shells, to the point where the Ukies are only able to fire a few shells out of their guns a week.

Beyond that, though, the Ukrainians are also running out of standard 155mm shells. They are turning increasingly to 105mm and 85mm shells, which are lighter and much shorter-ranged.

The West is becoming increasingly desperate to supply Banderastan with weapons – but it is running out. This is no longer even an open secret, it is established fact. The Bullshit Broadcasting Company – hardly a paragon of truth-telling even at the best of times – admits as much.

The situation is becoming so dire at this point, that Ukrainian troops are being forced to buy their own winter equipment on the open (read: black) market.

The Russians now enjoy an overwhelming advantage on every single quantifiable measure of military potential. Their mobilisation efforts a year ago were filled with problems, to be sure, but that is because they were trying to use a system designed in the Soviet era, for a population that has radically changed since that time. The Russian government was open and transparent about those issues with their own people, and has since resolved almost all of those problems.

Furthermore, the Russian people responded to the Motherland’s call in pretty astonishing fashion. Over 350,000 men have signed on for contract service with the Russian armed forces, for the Russians have now made military service into a well-paying and highly respected profession, thanks to much higher base salaries and benefits both during and after service, which include both the servicemen and their families.

The Russian government has also radically increased military spending – the next fiscal year’s budget shows spending on the military will account for nearly a third of all outlays, coming close to US$100B. Russia is simultaneously increasing spending on social services, such as healthcare, pensions, education, and other sectors of the economy, which is definitely putting some strains on their budget – the Russian national debt will increase to around 20% of GDP, which, for a nation as parsimonious as Russia, is something of a worry.

Yet, the Russian government has managed this while keeping its budget deficit to only around 2% of GDP, and forecasts a budget surplus by 2024.

What gives? How have the Russians managed to pull off such witchcraft?

The answer lies in the rapidly developing domestic economy. Domestic tax receipts have soared, as oil and natural gas prices have also increased over the past few months, as OPEC+ production cuts and export restrictions have taken hold. Although fossil fuels now account for only about 15% or so of Russia’s GDP, they still account for a substantial part of Russia’s government budget, and the decline earlier this year from China’s supposedly terminal “slowdown” has since reversed.

And, as I have personally confirmed, the Russian domestic economy is BOOMING. Government and private sector investment is off the charts. Russia is developing an extremely robust consumer-oriented economy, with a “weak” (though not really) ruble driving powerful export growth.

See the Ukreich in Flames

All of this is before we turn to their increasingly severe shortage of tanks and armoured vehicles. The Russians have been methodical, precise, and ruthless in hunting down and destroying Western-supplied howitzers, self-propelled guns, tanks, artillery, and aircraft. They have succeeded to a considerable degree.

All accounts from the front lines, from both sides, indicate the Ukrainians are no longer fielding any real armoured vehicles. What troops they have, advance in penny-packets of infantry – lightly and poorly armed, tossed into the war as fresh meat for the Russian grinder.

Tried to Save Queef in Vain

All of this translates into inevitable destruction and failure for the 404th Ukreich. The Nazi-infested government of Banderastan has no domestic economy to speak of – it survives ONLY through massive infusions of Western cash, most of which “magically disappears” through the world’s largest and most sophisticated money-laundering machine, and will survive only through the provision of at least another US$100B.

However, recent developments show clearly this will not happen. Banderastan needs at least US$100M a month just to maintain its war efforts – that translates to US$3B EVERY SINGLE MONTH, just in military aid. Yet the Pentaloons confirm there is little money left in the old piggy bank – which sounds hilarious, given this is an organisation that spends (read: wastes) over US$880B a year on wunderwaffen and salaries for soldiers spread out across the innumerable military bases of the American empire. Yet, it is the truth.

Ukraine needs money. It will not get that money, because the House of Representatives is paralysed in its attempts to find a new Speaker. Rep. Steve Scalise, a nominally pro-Ukrainian Republican, has withdrawn his nomination after failing to get enough votes. The most likely candidate is now Rep. Jim Jordan, who has repeatedly expressed deep scepticism about American policy with respect to Banderastan, and wants to see aid cut back.

It remains to be seen whether he will stand firm, but the America-First members of the otherwise spineless and useless Republicuck Party have made very clear they will move to usurp any RINO Speaker who tries to push through more aid for Banderastan.

This means the gravy train is about to come to an end. Ukraine will have to manage on its own, somehow. And that is going to be rather difficult for a country whose GDP collapsed by at least 40% in 2022, which has no domestic industry to speak of, and which has lost the territories that generated about 80% of its total output to Russia.

It is, in fact, impossible, given Ukraine’s population has fallen to below 20M, and continues to atrophy as people flee the country to Europe. Those people are never coming back. All Ukraine has left, really, are the poor-quality lands to the west, and ample numbers of Satanic-gay-and-crazy-Nazis infesting its government.

It’s the Road to Death and Pain

The quality of Ukrainian troops has also declined catastrophically. Pictures and videos from both the front lines and the rear staging areas show boys barely old enough to grow fuzz on their faces, or craggy-looking men with generous amounts of grey in their hair.

Take a look at this video of recent conscripts at a “morale-raising event” behind the front lines, somewhere in Banderastan. How do those men look to you?

To me, they look bored, frustrated, and deeply unhappy to be in uniform. None of them have any interest in the pseudo-patriotic bilge being forced upon them. Far too many of them have seen too many winters.

Most of them will not live to see another.

Worse still, the Ukrainians are now sending women to the front lines, in increasing numbers. Keep in mind, this is now a country with the lowest total fertility rate (TFR) in the ENTIRE WORLD. And it is now sending its only source of future cannon fodder, to die under a storm of steel as they continue to run out of current cannon fodder.

Watch these videos and tell me whether this is a country worth saving:

This is a nation that is actively seeking death. It will find what it seeks, at the pointy end of a Russian gun.

Conclusion – Hearts of Iron

None of this is to say the Ukrainians are cowardly or poor fighters. They are neither, and have proven so repeatedly. But they were ALWAYS fighting a losing war. There was never any real question of the outcome. Ukraine’s military is not merely beaten – it is BROKEN.

This war will end when Russia breaks through Ukrainian defences across the entire front, rolling the Ukies back all the way to the shores of the Dnieper River – and then breaking through toward, probably, Kharkov and eventually Odessa. Ukraine will have no hope of safety until and unless it negotiates a settlement with Russia, at the cost of much of its remaining territory.

Moreover, Russia’s strategy of patient, calm, calculating destruction of the entire collective West’s productive capacity and military arsenal, was always the right one.

The Neo-Tsar’s strategy resulted from a near-perfect application of Sun Tzu’s core maxim, after recovering from the mistakes he made early in the conflict. He miscalculated, badly, when he took the high-risk-high-reward approach of sending a force to smash through to Queef and surround it, thereby forcing a negotiation. He underestimated how badly the West truly wanted to see Russia destroyed and broken apart. That is why he held out hope, until last September, of a negotiated end to the conflict.

After the Khreat Khokholite Kharkov and Kherson Khounteroffensives, though, his strategy changed, and so did his rhetoric. Once he realised the West would not negotiate an equitable and fair settlement, insofar as possible, he simply recognised Russia’s vast military-industrial base would outproduce that of the entire West, and decided to bide his time, holding what Russia had already taken, and building up an extraordinarily powerful military machine.

We now see the results of that strategy. It spells disaster for the West, and collapse for Ukraine. This is, essentially, an application of Gen. Grant’s strategy against the South during the War Between the States – attrition, annihilation, and overextension of the enemy, to force a final breakthrough of overwhelming power, resulting in ultimate collapse.

The West does not have a clue about Russia – its elites are profoundly stupid, ill-informed, illiterate, and innumerate, and that is why they cannot figure out the reality that, for example, Russia already produces near-as-dammit as much steel as the FUSA does, with less than half the population.

But Russia understands the West just fine. It realises the collective West is agreement-non-capable – Western leaders are WORSE than Arabs, and that is saying something. So it has now decided to destroy the West’s ability to produce weapons, through attrition and the eventual bankruptcy of Western nations.

In this, they are succeeding. But they have paid a terrible price in this war – some 50,000 Russian men have already lost their lives, and thousands more will follow. When the time comes, the Russians will not be in a forgiving mood. They will take what they want, leaving behind a broken, landlocked, economically useless Ukraine festering with neo-Nazis and full of hate-filled lunatics who are good for literally nothing, on unproductive and infertile land.

This, then, is what Ukraine has “won”, at the cost of over 400,000 Ukrainian deaths.

From my point of view, at least, that strikes me as a very poor investment.