I could potentially cut my teeth over in the tier 3 schools (private schools with international aspirations) of Latin America, Africa and (the non gulf) middle-east. Just debating if I want to do that or seek out a university position with the master’s and cash in on a student population that is very eager for IELTS tutoring.

Or in SE Asia – there are a few schools in Singapore, like Overseas Family School or International School of Singapore, for example, that are what we would consider Tier 2, and smaller schools like the Canadian or Australian schools would be considered Tier 3. (The Aussies managed to avoid looking stupid by ensuring that they didn’t call it the “Australian School of Singapore” – a student of “ASS” would never hear the end of it.)

As one thing I’ve observed over in the USA (particularly with the Chinese) is they have a habit of wanting a “foot” planted somewhere in the western world. I think that is owing to the CCP and it’s violently erratic behavior.

Correct. For all of the rah-rah Chinese ethnonationalism and nonsense, the reality is that ANY Chinese person with the means and sense will always want to GTFO of China, because their government is incredibly stupid, and has zero accountability – always an extremely dangerous combination. At least in the West, you can kind-of-sort-of hold governments accountable (and not much of that, either). In China, they don’t give the minutest quantum of a damn what people think.

From what I’ve been reading the old silkroad of central Asia is essentially the last “frontier” of the ESL world. If the Chinese succeed in their belt and road project it may become the boomiest place on earth.

You’re forgetting one EXTREMELY important factor: virtually every one of those countries is Islamic. And that introduces a level of retardation that cannot be overstated. Islam is the entire reason why the “uk-stan” countries – Tajikistan, Uzekistan, Kazakhstan, etc. etc. – simply have not figured out how to differentiate arse from elbow, while the Russians have managed to do quite well over the past 30 years.

Stay away from ANY Islamic country, except maybe Turkey and the UAE – and even those have serious problems. With the UAE, for instance, you would only want to live and work in Dubai – Abu Dhabi is only barely tolerable, and Ras al-Khaimah and Sharjah are right out. And Turkey has severe inflation, bordering on hyperinflation right now, which means that, unless you are being paid in USD or EUR, that’s right out too.

If a man got their early enough in that process he might be able to strike it rich by virtue of being an “early adopter” and if I remember rightly many of these countries are also Russian speaking to begin with…that means simply learning Russian would overcome the linguistic issues.

Yes, that is a distinct possibility. Kazakhstan, for instance, seeks to position itself as a bridge between Russia and China (good luck with that, it ain’t workin’ out so well for them). Russian is indeed the language of business and commerce in those countries, so if you speak and read it well enough, you can get by.

But, again, remember – Islam imposes severe retardation on their economic and political policies.

With that in mind what is your thinking on that region (assuming the Chinese succeed)?

I don’t believe the Chinese will succeed. Their One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative is already running into some very serious issues as countries default on their debts, the Chinese (unlike the Russians) are leveraged up to and beyond their eyeballs at the government level, and they are an export-oriented economy that depends extremely heavily on the USSA for income and currency stability. Once the USSA goes, China goes too.

Oddly enough, South America might just emerge as a not-so-horrible alternative to the West. The Russians are good folk but they are insular and don’t particularly want or like outsiders in their lands, which is perfectly understandable. And the language and climate are fearsome obstacles. By contrast, Latin America, down south beyond Brazil, is Spanish-speaking and relatively comfortable with outsiders. If you get married and settle down there, your kids qualify for birthright citizenship in most cases, as well.

That is true – but WM-AW divorces are only 4% more likely than WM-WW. The pairing odds for divorce are pretty interesting.

If we take White Man – White Woman (WM – WW) as the baseline (and that divorce rate is, very roughly, 30%-50%, depending on where and when and how you look), then we get the following statistics from that source in terms of multipliers from the baseline odds:

BM – WW 2.00x
AM – WW 1.59x
WM – BW 0.66x
WM – AW 1.04x
BM – WW ???x but MUCH higher than WM – WW and BM – BW

The so-called BWAM (or AM – BW) pairing is not explored in that data set, but apparently they have the lowest divorce rates of all, or so I am told. I have no hard data to back this up, though.

Looking at the stats, I would say that, in America, female hypergamy, combined with Asian passive-aggressive tendencies, obsession with saving face, and generally smaller and weaker physical stature, result in the higher rates of marital failure.

Again, we have to interpret the data carefully. Longitudinal survival rates depend on levels of education, wealth, income, location, culture, and a whole host of other factors. It is just not possible to boil down marriage and divorce into a few neat numbers and therefore conclude that things are great, or horrible, based on a handful of inputs.

Now the tier 1 and some tier 2 schools mostly have a true “international” student body (example is diplomat’s children) where it is already expected that you are English speaking. Anything below that however becomes a mix of wealthy locals and middle to upper class foreigners.

I could potentially cut my teeth over in the tier 3 schools (private schools with international aspirations) of Latin America, Africa and (the non gulf) middle-east. Just debating if I want to do that or seek out a university position with the master’s and cash in on a student population that is very eager for IELTS tutoring.

As one thing I’ve observed over in the USA (particularly with the Chinese) is they have a habit of wanting a “foot” planted somewhere in the western world. I think that is owing to the CCP and it’s violently erratic behavior.

One other thing, this kind of ties in but could be it’s own subject. From what I’ve been reading the old silkroad of central Asia is essentially the last “frontier” of the ESL world. If the Chinese succeed in their belt and road project it may become the boomiest place on earth. If a man got their early enough in that process he might be able to strike it rich by virtue of being an “early adopter” and if I remember rightly many of these countries are also Russian speaking to begin with…that means simply learning Russian would overcome the linguistic issues.

With that in mind what is your thinking on that region (assuming the Chinese succeed)?