The latest news out of Europe and Asia concerning the Kung Flu is grim, to say the least. PommieBastardLande is looking at implementing yet another lockdown – the government there has taken to calling it a “circuit-breaker”, and apparently believes that the British people are dumb enough to swallow the line that a two-week emergency lockdown will be enough to stop a sharp rise in cases and deaths. Several European countries, which were cautiously reopening and allowing businesses to get back to work, have suddenly slammed on the brakes again. India’s government appears to be completely clueless about how to fight the bug, and has simply failed to adopt anything approaching a rational response of any kind.
In the USA, of course, the response has been mixed. Red states, which tend not to be governed by complete morons, have largely refused to implement another lockdown. Blue states, on the other hand, have made it clear that they intend to stay locked down and hopeless right through the November elections.
Yet these lockdowns were always a bad response. The idea that locking everything down would stop this virus in its tracks was a myth from the beginning. The clinical evidence that we have available now, and have had for the last several months, has made it very clear that the mortality rates from the CCP virus were nowhere close to 1%, as we had been told initially, but were always closer to that of a serious seasonal influenza outbreak – i.e. more like 0.11%, and in most age groups much lower than that.
And now we are seeing clear evidence that the lockdowns have created far more, and vastly more serious, problems than a viral outbreak ever could – such as a massive surge in violent crime:
Violent crime has soared to its highest level in a decade after a surge in drug feuds, domestic abuse and hate crime, statistics show.
Drug rivalries became increasingly violent in the first phase of the coronavirus pandemic in order to retain their turf.
Violence outside of venues also soared as lockdown restrictions loosened due to ‘pent up rage’, according to police.
It comes after it was revealed violent crime had returned to pre-Covid levels last month, amid fears that numbers could rise even further as lockdown measures are lifted.
Analysis of police data by The Times shows violent offences were at their highest level in nearly ten years across two thirds of forces in England and Wales in July.
Violent crime was higher last month than in July 2019 in 31 of 39 police forces who published their statistics.
Gloucestershire saw violent crime rise by 39 per cent while Durham had and increase of 35 per cent, the two highest rises in the country.
Rachel Almeida, assistant director of Victim Support, said domestic violence had been ‘more intense, of high severity, and more frequent’ during lockdown.
She said: ‘During lockdown perpetrators have increased their control and violence, and victims were unable to get away.’
The phrase “Rage for order” isn’t just the title of a great old-school QUEENSRYCHE album. (That reference should tell you how unusual my, quite excellent, tastes in music actually are.) It is, in fact, a rather good summation of the way that millions of people are feeling right now.
For months we have been ripped off and lied to by our own governments, by the very people that we ostensibly trusted to protect us and elected to keep us safe. We handed over our freedoms to them quite gladly, without ever stopping to think about the consequences. And now we are beginning to realise that this was a gigantic mistake.
The government ministers, functionaries, flunkies, and bureaucrats have absolutely no idea how to fight this pandemic. They have made all of their decisions on the basis of junk assumptions that were fed into garbage models that churn out rubbish predictions. The lockdowns were NEVER a good idea and if anyone in a position of serious authority had bothered to stop and think for more than ten minutes about the mortality assumptions, then much of the world might have been spared from some very stupid decisions.
Among the stupidest of those decisions was the notion that keeping people locked in their homes, with no recourse to let off steam and socialise and be around other people, was healthy over the long term. It categorically is not. Humans are social creatures and NEED to be around others of our own kind.
Even absolute curmudgeons like me require sunlight and socialisation of some kind – even if that level of interaction amounts to asking the barista at the coffee shop for a chestnut-flavoured latte. That much is quite enough for extreme introverts like me, and I am very much on the extreme end of that scale. Most people, especially the lonely and the elderly, require much more socialisation than that.
Now, if the Kung Flu had a total infection fatality rate (IFR) of, say, 60% – that is to say, it is as dangerous as H5N1, aka “bird flu”, “death to the world”, and “holy shit we’re f***ed!” – then keeping everyone locked in their own homes would be completely justified. That kind of virus is an absolute world-killer. A virus like that, released into the general population, with the kind of infectiousness and transmission rate of a regular flu, would send us straight back to the Stone Age in about three months.
Heck, even if the Kung Flu had a mortality rate of 10%, i.e. roughly what SARS had back in 2003, then emergency measures would very much be warranted. A 10% mortality rate, especially when experienced among the young and productive segments of the population – kind of like the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic – would be an incalculable disaster.
But COVID-19 is neither of those things. It has a mortality rate throughout the entire population of only about 0.1%. The risk of death, or of long-term and quite severe health complications, goes up dramatically depending on a number of factors, such as age, pre-existing health conditions, and so on – we know what those are by now, we’ve had enough time and enough data points collected to ensure this. That mortality rate drops down to about 0.01% or so among the youngest and healthiest segments of the population, which is to say that most people under the age of 50 have little, if anything, to fear.
And most of those who do get it will never have the first clue that they were actually sick with the Kung Flu.
For this, we allowed our governments to shut us all in and inflict economic devastation, poverty, social isolation, misery, and pain upon all of us? And for this we tolerated our governments abandoning their duties and simply letting criminals get away with looting and pillaging?
How, exactly, is this a sensible response to a disease that is nowhere near as serious as we were initially told?
The reason why we all overreacted and lost our minds is because our modern societies have a real and palpable horror of death. Few, if any, of us have ever contemplated our own ends. We don’t like to think about dying. We think that modern medical technology can extend our lives far beyond anything that our grandparents could have expected, and we are right to think so. We refuse to reconcile ourselves with the inevitable reality that someday we will be gone.
Ultimately, every one of us dies, usually alone and almost always in great pain. Few of us are truly lucky enough to die peacefully in our sleep and surrounded by loved ones. The sooner we reconcile ourselves to that reality, the better we will be able to confront the realities of a fast-moving but not terribly lethal disease, and the sooner we can comport ourselves with stoicism and strength in the face of unpleasant facts.
As to those self-same facts – some of the members of the medical profession in Belgium, who apparently possess a modicum of integrity and human decency that their compatriots in other countries would benefit from absorbing, have written an open letter to the government authorities of their country and all others to tell people to stop freaking out already, because there is no need for mass panic here:
At the beginning of the pandemic, the measures were understandable and widely supported, even if there were differences in implementation in the countries around us. The WHO originally predicted a pandemic that would claim 3.4% victims, in other words millions of deaths, and a highly contagious virus for which no treatment or vaccine was available. This would put unprecedented pressure on the intensive care units (ICUs) of our hospitals.
The course of covid-19 followed the course of a normal wave of infection similar to a flu season. As every year, we see a mix of flu viruses following the curve: first the rhinoviruses, then the influenza A and B viruses, followed by the coronaviruses. There is nothing different from what we normally see.
If we compare the waves of infection in countries with strict lockdown policies to countries that did not impose lockdowns (Sweden, Iceland …), we see similar curves. So there is no link between the imposed lockdown and the course of the infection. Lockdown has not led to a lower mortality rate.
Mortality turned out to be many times lower than expected and close to that of a normal seasonal flu (0.2%). 20
The number of registered corona deaths therefore still seems to be overestimated.
There is a difference between death by corona and death with corona. Humans are often carriers of multiple viruses and potentially pathogenic bacteria at the same time. Taking into account the fact that most people who developed serious symptoms suffered from additional pathology, one cannot simply conclude that the corona-infection was the cause of death. This was mostly not taken into account in the statistics.
If we are indeed to follow the SCIENCE!!!!111!!, then we must conclude that the initial wave of panicked responses was entirely unjustified. The people most at risk from this disease are Ye Olde Phartes with compromised immune systems living in nursing homes. That is a small fraction of the population of any country, even a “middle-aged” country like Japan or Russia or many Scandinavian nations. It is possible to protect those most at risk without tanking the entire economy and destroying the lives of hundreds of millions of people for years to come.
It is well past time to end this madness. Enough is enough. The lockdowns must end, immediately. The politicians and scientists and journalists who spread the initial panic must be held responsible – preferably by firing squad, given the appalling damage that they have inflicted upon all of us. And we must never again allow ourselves to overreact as we have to this virus.
The facts have clearly shown that the lockdowns were never about stopping the virus. They have proven almost completely ineffective at doing that. The lockdowns were instead a naked attempt at seizing and consolidating VAST amounts of government power. And, sadly, these were highly successful. These powers will never be given up by governments quickly or voluntarily – it simply will not happen.
There will be a fearsome price to pay for all of us in the coming days and weeks, especially in the USA, where blue-state mayors and governors will use that power to stop their voters from exercising their sovereign authority and throwing them out of office for their treasonous actions. But the pendulum always swings back eventually, and with it comes the swing of the axe that cuts through all of the lies and the bullshit.
That backswing is coming, hard and fast. Be ready for it. We are already seeing societies exploding into paroxysms of rage and violence that were repressed and exacerbated by these lockdowns. It won’t take much more for that rage to become something much, much worse.